Physics > Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics
[Submitted on 23 Sep 2025
]
Title: An update to ECMWF's machine-learned weather forecast model AIFS
Title: 对ECMWF机器学习天气预报模型AIFS的更新
Abstract: We present an update to ECMWF's machine-learned weather forecasting model AIFS Single with several key improvements. The model now incorporates physical consistency constraints through bounding layers, an updated training schedule, and an expanded set of variables. The physical constraints substantially improve precipitation forecasts and the new variables show a high level of skill. Upper-air headline scores also show improvement over the previous AIFS version. The AIFS has been fully operational at ECMWF since the 25th of February 2025.
Submission history
From: Gabriel Moldovan [view email][v1] Tue, 23 Sep 2025 13:43:20 UTC (29,575 KB)
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