标题： 和平的后果：FARC停火对哥伦比亚强迫流离失所的影响 显示英文标题

标题： The Aftermath of Peace: The Impact of the FARC's Ceasefire on Forced Displacement in Colombia

摘要： 哥伦比亚的长期冲突使该国成为全球受强迫内部流离失所（FID）影响最严重的国家之一。 这项研究考察了FARC 2014年单方面永久停火对FID的影响。 我们采用一种差异分析策略，利用停火时间以及冲突前FARC在各市镇的分布情况。 结果表明，在受影响地区严重流离失所事件大幅减少，其影响逐渐显现并持续一段时间。 这些发现强调了稳定性和和平协议有效实施在缓解FID及其深远后果中的重要性。 显示英文摘要

摘要： Colombia's prolonged conflict has made the country one of the most affected by forced internal displacement (FID) in the world. This study examines the impact of the FARC's 2014 unilateral and permanent ceasefire on FID. We use a difference-in-differences strategy that exploits the timing of the ceasefire and the pre-conflict distribution of FARC presence across municipalities. Results show a substantial reduction in severe displacement episodes in affected areas, with effects that emerged gradually and persisted over time. These findings highlight the importance of stability and the effective implementation of peace agreements in mitigating FID and its far-reaching consequences.