标题： 字符串上的置信限 显示英文标题

标题： Fiducial on a string

摘要： 费舍尔（1973）的置信推论被描述为他的最大失误，但汉尼格等人（2016）最近的回顾展示了对该精妙思想的当前和日益增长的兴趣。这篇简短的注释分析了塞登菲尔德（1992）引入的一个例子，其中置信分布被限制到一条线上。关键词和短语：贝叶斯和置信推断，参数的限制，不确定性量化，认识论概率，流形上的统计学。 显示英文摘要

摘要： The fiducial argument of Fisher (1973) has been described as his biggest blunder, but the recent review of Hannig et al. (2016) demonstrates the current and increasing interest in this brilliant idea. This short note analyses an example introduced by Seidenfeld (1992) where the fiducial distribution is restricted to a string. Keywords and phrases: Bayesian and fiducial inference, Restrictions on parameters, Uncertainty quantification, Epistemic probability, Statistics on a manifold.