标题： 粒子加速器技术突破的社会经济影响：研究议程 显示英文标题

标题： The socio-economic impact of a breakthrough in the particle accelerators' technology: a research agenda

摘要： 初步证据表明，加速器行业的长期发展轨迹可能接近其周期的成熟阶段。 如果真是这样，我们该如何衡量加速技术不确定突破带来的好处呢？ 哪些主要利益相关者对这种突破感兴趣？ 我们确定了这些主题，并概述了一些回答这些问题的途径。 因此，我们提出了一个用于研究基础设施的社会成本效益分析（CBA）模型，并展示了其在评估加速器在基础科学和强子治疗中的效益方面的实施结果。 最后，我们从单一研究基础设施的社会CBA转向建模加速器技术的重大变化，从而影响整个行业。 本文提出了一个关于技术突破潜在影响的研究议程。 显示英文摘要

摘要： Preliminary evidence on the long--run trajectory of the accelerator industry suggests that it may be close to the maturity phase of its cycle. If this is the case, how can we measure the benefits of an uncertain breakthrough in acceleration technology? Who are the main stakeholders interested by such a breakthrough? We identify these subjects and sketch some avenues for answering these questions. We thus present a model for the social Cost-Benefit Analysis (CBA) of research infrastructures and illustrate the results of its implementation for assessing the benefits of accelerators in basic science and hadrontherapy. Lastly, we move from the social CBA of single research infrastructures to modeling a major change in the accelerator technology and hence in the industry. A research agenda on the potential impacts of a technological breakthrough is presented.