标题： 不确定性的传播到传递可观测量的系统研究 显示英文标题

标题： Systematic study of the propagation of uncertainties to transfer observables

摘要： 对转移反应中的参数不确定性进行系统研究，使用最近开发的量化不确定性的全局光学势（KDUQ）。 我们考虑在双幻数球形核$^{48}$Ca 上的反应，并探讨在不同束流能量和不同最终单粒子态性质下预测的$(d,p)$角分布不确定性的依赖关系。 我们的结果表明，与束缚态势相关的不确定性以及与光学势相关的不确定性之间的相关性可能对于正确确定转移截面的不确定性非常重要（在我们的情况下，这些不确定性并不按平方和相加）。 一般来说，我们发现预测的转移可观测量的不确定性较小：68% 置信区间的半宽度大约为$5-10$%，这与转移数据的实验误差相当。 最后，我们的结果表明，转移可观测量中的参数不确定性的相对大小随着束流能量的增加而增大，并且对最终态的性质不敏感。 显示英文摘要

摘要： A systematic study of parametric uncertainties in transfer reactions is performed using the recently developed uncertainty quantified global optical potential (KDUQ). We consider reactions on the doubly-magic spherical nucleus $^{48}$Ca and explore the dependence of the predicted $(d,p)$ angular distribution uncertainties at different beam energies and for different properties of the final single-particle state populated by the reaction. Our results show that correlations between the uncertainties associated with the bound state potential and with the optical potentials may be important for correctly determining the uncertainty in the transfer cross sections (in our case, these do not add in quadrature). In general, we find small uncertainties in the predicted transfer observables: half-width of the 68% credible interval is roughly $5-10$%, which is comparable to the experimental error on the transfer data. Finally, our results show that the relative magnitude of the parametric uncertainty in transfer observables increases with the beam energy and does not depend strongly on the properties of the final state.