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arXiv:2502.20211 (stat)
[Submitted on 27 Feb 2025 ]

Title: A New Method for High-Resolution Dating of Radiocarbon Data: The Example of the First Three Centuries B.C

Title: 一种高分辨率放射性碳数据年代测定的新方法:公元前前三世纪的实例

Authors:Sebastian Fürst
Abstract: Radiocarbon dating poses a challenge in many archaeological contexts due to the limited precision of conventional calibration methods. In this study, we introduce a novel approach to fine-dating that is based on the repeated application of OxCal's R_Simulate function. By constructing extensive reference tables and aggregating measures of central tendency (means and medians), uncalibrated 14C measurements are directly mapped to calendar dates. The method is validated through comprehensive simulations and comparisons with dendrochronologically dated tree rings. Despite challenges in segments of the calibration curve with low gradients, the approach demonstrates that a significant improvement in dating precision is achievable. Limitations and potential avenues for further methodological optimisation are discussed.
Abstract: 放射性碳测定在许多考古背景下面临挑战,这是由于传统校准方法的精度有限。 在本研究中,我们介绍了一种基于重复应用OxCal的R_Simulate函数的新方法,用于精细测年。 通过构建广泛的参考表并汇总集中趋势的度量(均值和中位数),未经校正的14C测量值可以直接映射到日历年代。 该方法通过全面的模拟和与树轮年代学测定的树轮比较进行了验证。 尽管在校准曲线梯度较低的部分存在挑战,但该方法表明,显著提高测年精度是可行的。 讨论了局限性以及进一步方法优化的潜在途径。
Comments: 30 pages, 14 figures, 14 appendices
Subjects: Methodology (stat.ME) ; Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability (physics.data-an); Geophysics (physics.geo-ph); Applications (stat.AP)
Cite as: arXiv:2502.20211 [stat.ME]
  (or arXiv:2502.20211v1 [stat.ME] for this version)
  https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2502.20211
arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite

Submission history

From: Sebastian Fürst [view email]
[v1] Thu, 27 Feb 2025 15:52:17 UTC (20,603 KB)
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