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Economics > General Economics

arXiv:2509.15247 (econ)
[Submitted on 17 Sep 2025 (v1) , last revised 25 Sep 2025 (this version, v2)]

Title: Demand and consumer surplus in the payday-loan market: Evidence from British Columbia

Title: payday贷款市场中的需求和消费者剩余:来自不列颠哥伦比亚省的证据

Authors:Tim Zhang, Amity Quinn
Abstract: This study examines how interest rate caps affect the demand for payday loans, using aggregate data from British Columbia (2012--2019) during which the province's maximum fee was reduced from \$23 to \$17 and then to \$15 per \$100 borrowed. Estimating a linear demand function via OLS, we find that lowering interest rate caps significantly increases loan demand. We estimate that the \$8 decrease, from \$23 to \$15 per \$100, raised annual consumer surplus by roughly \$28.6 million (2012 CAD). A further reduction to \$14, starting in January 2025, would add another \$3.9 million per year. These results suggest that stricter interest rate caps can yield substantial consumer welfare gains.
Abstract: 这项研究考察了利率上限如何影响即时贷款的需求,使用了不列颠哥伦比亚省(2012--2019年)的汇总数据,在此期间该省每借100美元的最高费用从23美元降至17美元,然后降至15美元。 通过OLS估计线性需求函数,我们发现降低利率上限显著增加了贷款需求。 我们估计,从每100美元23美元降至15美元的8美元下降,使年度消费者剩余增加了约2860万美元(2012年加元)。 从2025年1月开始进一步降至14美元,每年将增加390万美元。 这些结果表明,更严格的利率上限可以带来显著的消费者福利收益。
Subjects: General Economics (econ.GN)
Cite as: arXiv:2509.15247 [econ.GN]
  (or arXiv:2509.15247v2 [econ.GN] for this version)
  https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2509.15247
arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite

Submission history

From: Tim Zhang [view email]
[v1] Wed, 17 Sep 2025 21:16:52 UTC (6 KB)
[v2] Thu, 25 Sep 2025 13:46:16 UTC (6 KB)
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