标题： 建模天气条件对道路交通行为的影响 显示英文标题

标题： Modeling Weather Conditions Consequences on Road Trafficking Behaviors

摘要： 我们提供一个模型来理解不利天气条件如何改变交通流动态。 我们首先证明车辆的微观自由流速度发生了变化，然后提供一个规则来模拟这种变化。 为此，我们考虑一个阈值线性模型，对应于将MARS模型应用于道路交通。 该模型能够局部适应整个道路网络，并利用实时或短期预测的天气数据信息提供准确无偏的预测速度。 显示英文摘要

摘要： We provide a model to understand how adverse weather conditions modify traffic flow dynamic. We first prove that the microscopic Free Flow Speed of the vehicles is changed and then provide a rule to model this change. For this, we consider a thresholded linear model, corresponding to an application of a MARS model to road trafficking. This model adapts itself locally to the whole road network and provides accurate unbiased forecasted speed using live or short term forecasted weather data information.