标题： 针对证据决策理论家的“睡美人”荷兰赌问题 显示英文标题

标题： A Dutch Book against Sleeping Beauties Who Are Evidential Decision Theorists

摘要： 在睡美人问题的背景下，有人认为所谓的“二分法者”可以通过采用证据决策理论来避免荷兰赌论证。 我为睡美人问题的一个变体引入了一个荷兰赌，并且论证了无论他们是二分法者还是三分法者，证据决策论者都会陷入这个荷兰赌。 这个论证关键之处在于一个行为不仅能为代理人在其他信息完全相同的决策点上会做什么提供证据，还能为她在信息不同但“对称”的决策点上会做什么提供证据。 显示英文摘要

摘要： In the context of the Sleeping Beauty problem, it has been argued that so-called "halfers" can avoid Dutch book arguments by adopting evidential decision theory. I introduce a Dutch book for a variant of the Sleeping Beauty problem and argue that evidential decision theorists fall prey to it, whether they are halfers or thirders. The argument crucially requires that an action can provide evidence for what the agent would do not only at other decision points where she has exactly the same information, but also at decision points where she has different but "symmetric" information.