标题： 高速铁路对越南城市间出行行为的影响 显示英文标题

标题： Influence of introducing high speed railways on intercity travel behavior in Vietnam

摘要： 是否在不久的将来建设高速铁路(HSR)系统是越南最热门的话题之一。 为了分析引入高速铁路对城市间出行行为的影响，本研究开发了一个综合的城市间需求预测模型，以表示出行生成和频率、目的地选择以及出行方式选择行为。 为此，2011年在河内进行了一项全面的问卷调查，包括显性偏好(RP)信息（城市间出行日记）和隐性偏好(SP)信息。 在SP部分，不仅包括高速铁路，还包括低成本航空公司，以及现有的其他城市间出行方式。 为了充分利用各类数据的优势并克服其缺点，RP和SP数据被结合用来描述目的地选择和方式选择行为，而出行生成和频率则通过RP数据来表示。 模型估计结果表明了出行生成和频率、目的地选择和出行方式选择之间的相互关系，并确认这些组成部分不应分别处理。 显示英文摘要

摘要： It is one of hottest topics in Vietnam whether to construct a High Speed Rail (HSR) system or not in near future. To analyze the impacts of introducing the HSR on the intercity travel behavior, this research develops an integrated intercity demand forecasting model to represent trip generation and frequency, destination choice and travel mode choice behavior. For this purpose, a comprehensive questionnaire survey with both Revealed Preference (RP) information (an inter-city trip diary) and Stated Preference (SP) information was conducted in Hanoi in 2011. In the SP part, not only HSR, but also Low Cost Carrier is included in the choice set, together with other existing inter-city travel modes. To make full use of the advantages of each type of data and to overcome their disadvantages, RP and SP data are combined to describe the destination choice and mode choice behavior, while trip generation and frequency are represented by using the RP data. The model estimation results show the inter-relationship between trip generation and frequency, destination choice and travel mode choice, and confirm that those components should not dealt with separately.