标题： 受马尔可夫链启发的MH370搜寻方法 显示英文标题

标题： Markov-chain-inspired search for MH370

摘要： 为描述马来西亚航空公司MH370航班海洋漂移物的概率分布，构建了马尔可夫链模型。从吉隆坡飞往北京的MH370航班于2014年3月8日在与Inmarsat-3F1卫星接触中断时，在第七次ping环附近的东南印度洋某处神秘失踪。这些模型通过离散化全球历史数据库中无降落伞的卫星跟踪表面漂流浮标运动获得。光谱分析、贝叶斯估计以及在Inmarsat弧线和确认飞机残骸海滩地点之间最可能路径的计算被证明可以限制坠机地点，大约在Inmarsat弧线25$^{\circ}$S附近。 显示英文摘要

摘要： Markov-chain models are constructed for the probabilistic description of the drift of marine debris from Malaysian Airlines flight MH370. En route from Kuala Lumpur to Beijing, the MH370 mysteriously disappeared in the southeastern Indian Ocean on 8 March 2014, somewhere along the arc of the 7th ping ring around the Inmarsat-3F1 satellite position when the airplane lost contact. The models are obtained by discretizing the motion of undrogued satellite-tracked surface drifting buoys from the global historical data bank. A spectral analysis, Bayesian estimation, and the computation of most probable paths between the Inmarsat arc and confirmed airplane debris beaching sites are shown to constrain the crash site, near 25$^{\circ}$S on the Inmarsat arc.