标题： 结构可控性和级联制度转变的管理 显示英文标题

标题： Structural controllability and management of cascading regime shifts

摘要： 生态系统中的突然转变可能是相互关联的，这给科学和管理带来了挑战，即识别足够的干预措施以防止这些转变或从不利的转变中恢复。 在这里，我们利用网络可控制性原则来探讨管理耦合状态转变的难度。 我们发现，当耦合状态转变共享驱动因素时，管理起来更容易，但如果在耦合时形成新的反馈机制，可能会变得更难管理。 模拟实验表明，网络结构和耦合强度在我们管理相互关联系统的能力方面都起着重要作用。 这一理论观察结果呼吁对生态系统中的级联状态转变进行实证评估，并提醒我们控制级联效应的能力是有限的。 显示英文摘要

摘要： Abrupt transitions in ecosystems can be interconnected, raising challenges for science and management in identifying sufficient interventions to prevent them or recover from undesirable shifts. Here we use principles of network controllability to explore how difficult it is to manage coupled regime shifts. We find that coupled regime shifts are easier to manage when they share drivers, but can become harder to manage if new feedbacks are formed when coupled. Simulation experiments showed that both network structure and coupling strength matter in our ability to manage interconnected systems. This theoretical observation calls for an empirical assessment of cascading regime shifts in ecosystems and warns about our limited ability to control cascading effects.