标题： 美国能源信息署的新一代能源经济模型 显示英文标题

标题： A New Generation of Energy-Economy Modeling at the U.S. Energy Information Administration

摘要： 鉴于能源系统发展的快速步伐，是时候重新设想美国政府建模国内和全球能源系统长期演变的能力了。 作为这些能力的主要管理者，美国能源信息署（EIA）正在开展一个长期的、模块化的、灵活的、透明的和稳健的建模框架的开发，该框架能够捕捉在各种未来情景下驱动能源系统和经济的关键动态。 这一新能力将利用当前最先进的建模技术，为研究人员、决策者和公众提供关键的见解。 我们描述了对能源-经济建模不断变化的需求，现有模型的能力和局限性，以及我们在新框架中认为应对这些需求至关重要的关键特性，该框架正在积极开发中。 显示英文摘要

摘要： Given the rapid pace of energy system development, the time has come to reimagine the U.S. Government's capability to model the long-term evolution of the domestic and global energy system. As a primary custodian of these capabilities, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) is embarking on the development of a long-term, modular, flexible, transparent, and robust modeling framework that can capture the key dynamics driving the energy system and economy under a wide range of future scenarios. This new capability will leverage the current state of the art in modeling to produce critical insight for researchers, decision makers, and the public. We describe the evolving demands on energy-economy modeling, the capacity and limitations of existing models, and the key features we see as necessary for addressing these demands in our new framework, which is under active development.