标题： 一种计算方法用于意大利小麦生产系统的可持续政策评估 显示英文标题

标题： A Computational Approach to Sustainable Policies Evaluation of the Italian Wheat Production System

摘要： 这项工作概述了开发一种工具的建模步骤，该工具旨在支持政策制定者引导政策向更可持续的小麦生产方向发展。 在农业部门，政策影响着一个高度多样化的农场集合，这些农场在多个维度上有所不同，例如规模、土地组成、当地气候和灌溉可用性。 为了解决这种显著的异质性，我们构建了一个基于代理的模型（ABM）。 该模型使用对意大利农场的代表性调查进行初始化，以捕捉它们的异质性。 然后将ABM扩展，以包含与全国运营农场数量相当的农场数量。 为了捕捉更广泛的动态，ABM与两个额外组件进行了集成：一个国际小麦市场的全球模型和一个评估小麦生产环境影响的工具。 这个集成框架使我们能够在评估政策措施的环境影响时，考虑全球价格与本地生产之间的反馈循环。 显示英文摘要

摘要： This work outlines the modeling steps for developing a tool aimed at supporting policymakers in guiding policies toward more sustainable wheat production. In the agricultural sector,policies affect a highly diverse set of farms, which differ across several dimensions such as size,land composition, local climate, and irrigation availability. To address this significant heterogeneity, we construct an Agent-Based Model (ABM). The model is initialized using a representative survey of Italian farms, which captures their heterogeneity. The ABM is then scaled to include a number of farms comparable to those operating nationwide. To capture broader dynamics, the ABM is integrated with two additional components:a global model of international wheat markets and a tool for assessing the environmental impacts of wheat production. This integrated framework enables us to account for the feedback loop between global prices and local production while evaluating the environmental implications of policy measures.